Republican · VA
Morgan Griffith
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Morgan Griffith (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 VA-09 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 VA-09 House race | 97% | 97% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.8M
- Spent
- $1.3M
- Cash on hand
- $974K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $549K from individuals, $1.2M from PACs. FEC filings for H Morgan Griffith →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
