Democrat · CT
Ned Lamont
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ned Lamont (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Connecticut governor race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Connecticut governor race | 97% | 96% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Connecticut governor race, the Parlay polling average has Ned Lamont at 52% against Ryan Fazio at 39%, from 4 polls (newest ended 2026-09-21).
Social buzz
10K interactions with posts about Ned Lamont in the last 24 hours from 34 people; 70% of posts read as positive, down 24% on last week.
- With just over five weeks until Election Day, Gov. Ned Lamont and Republican challenger Ryan Fazio are making their case to Connecticut business leaders as voters prepare to head to the polls. WTNH News 8 · tweet
- Gov. Ned Lamont has ordered flags to be lowered to half-staff Friday in honor of Elvin Hernandez, a CTDOT employee who was struck and killed while working on Interstate 95 South in Fairfield. WTNH News 8 · tweet
- Ned Lamont made life more expensive. Lamont raised taxes on food, on your paycheck, and electric rates are up 38% over his eight years. On November 3rd, let’s retire Ned Lamont and make Connecticut affordable. Ryan Fazio for Governor · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
