Democrat · PA
Paige Cognetti
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Paige Cognetti (Democrat) a 70% chance of winning the 2026 PA-08 House race (Kalshi 71%, Polymarket 69%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 PA-08 House race | 70% | 71% | 69% | ▲ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $4.6M
- Spent
- $1.2M
- Cash on hand
- $3.4M
- Outside groups for
- $681K
- Outside groups against
- $331K
Through June 30, 2026. $3.9M from individuals, $430K from PACs. FEC filings for Paige Cognetti →
Polls
In the 2026 PA-08 House race, the Parlay polling average has Paige Cognetti at 47% against Rob Bresnahan at 45%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-06-23).
Social buzz
25K interactions with posts about Paige Cognetti in the last 24 hours from 30 people; 30% of posts read as positive, up 5% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
