Republican · PA
Rob Bresnahan
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rob Bresnahan (Republican) a 30% chance of winning the 2026 PA-08 House race (Kalshi 30%, Polymarket 31%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 PA-08 House race | 30% | 30% | 31% | ▼ 4¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $5.2M
- Spent
- $2.7M
- Cash on hand
- $2.6M
- Outside groups for
- $498K
- Outside groups against
- $3.1M
Through June 30, 2026. $1.9M from individuals, $1.4M from PACs, $56K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Rob Bresnahan →
Polls
In the 2026 PA-08 House race, the Parlay polling average has Rob Bresnahan at 45% against Paige Cognetti at 47%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-06-23).
Social buzz
20K interactions with posts about Rob Bresnahan in the last 24 hours from 25 people; 21% of posts read as positive, down 49% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
