What are Pete Stauber's chances of winning the 2026 MN-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Pete Stauber a 87% chance (Kalshi 87%, Polymarket 87%).

How much money has Pete Stauber raised?

Pete Stauber's campaign has raised $2.0M and has $1.2M cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MN

Pete Stauber

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Pete Stauber (Republican) a 87% chance of winning the 2026 MN-08 House race (Kalshi 87%, Polymarket 87%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MN-08 House race	87%	87%	87%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.0M
Spent: $1.3M
Cash on hand: $1.2M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $852K from individuals, $932K from PACs. FEC filings for Peter Allen Stauber →

Running against

Trina Swanson13%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.