Democrat · MN
Trina Swanson
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Trina Swanson (Democrat) a 13% chance of winning the 2026 MN-08 House race (Kalshi 13%, Polymarket 13%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MN-08 House race | 13% | 13% | 13% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $317K
- Spent
- $226K
- Cash on hand
- $90K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 22, 2026. $306K from individuals, $10K from PACs. FEC filings for Trina Swanson →
Running against
- Pete Stauber87%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.