Republican · VT
Phil Scott
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Phil Scott (Republican) a 77% chance of winning the 2026 Vermont governor race (Kalshi 76%, Polymarket 77%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Vermont governor race | 77% | 76% | 77% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Vermont governor race, the Parlay polling average has Phil Scott at 43% against Amanda Janoo at 42%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-21).
Social buzz
28K interactions with posts about Phil Scott in the last 24 hours from 76 people; 73% of posts read as positive, down 81% on last week.
- Vermont governor Phil Scott asked the White House to send more refugees to his state, while vermonters are going through a housing crisis for over 10 years Immigrateful · tiktok-video
- RECENT HIGH: Democrat Amanda Janoo’s odds to defeat Republican Vermont Governor Phil Scott rise to 25% — her highest point since April Kalshi Politics · tweet
- And here's what it looks like compared to the Senate and Governor races Most candidates are running even with expectations however Dan Osborn, Susan Collins, Phil Scott, and Kelly Ayotte are still overperforming like cra David · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Amanda Janoo23%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
