Republican · KY
Ralph Alvarado
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ralph Alvarado (Republican) a 73% chance of winning the 2026 KY-06 House race (Kalshi 73%, Polymarket 73%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 KY-06 House race | 73% | 73% | 73% | ▼ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.5M
- Spent
- $1.1M
- Cash on hand
- $398K
- Outside groups for
- $655K
- Outside groups against
- $500K
Through June 30, 2026. $1.2M from individuals, $259K from PACs, $57K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Ralph A Alvarado →
Polls
In the 2026 KY-06 House race, the Parlay polling average has Ralph Alvarado at 43% against Zach Dembo at 46%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-30).
Social buzz
1K interactions with posts about Ralph Alvarado in the last 24 hours from 15 people; 71% of posts read as positive, up 243% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Zach Dembo27%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
