Republican · NY
Ralph Ambrosio
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ralph Ambrosio (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 NY-20 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 3%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-20 House race | 3% | 4% | 3% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $29K
- Spent
- $21K
- Cash on hand
- $8K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $28K from individuals, $1K from PACs. FEC filings for Ralph Ambrosio →
Running against
- Paul Tonko97%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
