What are Rashida Tlaib's chances of winning the 2026 MI-12 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rashida Tlaib a 99% chance (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Rashida Tlaib raised?

Rashida Tlaib's campaign has raised $2.8M and has $3.4M cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MI

Rashida Tlaib

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rashida Tlaib (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 MI-12 House race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 99%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MI-12 House race	99%	99%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.8M
Spent: $3.6M
Cash on hand: $3.4M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $10K

Through July 15, 2026. $2.3M from individuals, $37K from PACs. FEC filings for Rashida Tlaib →

Running against

James Hooper1%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.