What are Raymond McKay's chances of winning the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Raymond McKay a 1% chance (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 1%).

How much money has Raymond McKay raised?

Raymond McKay's campaign has raised $180K and has $8K cash on hand, through August 20, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · RI

Raymond McKay

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Raymond McKay (Republican) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 1%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 Rhode Island Senate race	1%	1%	1%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $180K
Spent: $173K
Cash on hand: $8K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through August 20, 2026. $178K from individuals, $2K from PACs. FEC filings for Raymond Tyler McKay →

Polls

In the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Raymond McKay at 33% against Jack Reed at 53%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-21).

Running against

Jack Reed99%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.