Democrat · IA
Rob Sand
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rob Sand (Democrat) a 86% chance of winning the 2026 Iowa governor race (Kalshi 85%, Polymarket 88%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Iowa governor race | 86% | 85% | 88% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Iowa governor race, the Parlay polling average has Rob Sand at 52% against Zach Lahn at 42%, from 7 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
272K interactions with posts about Rob Sand in the last 24 hours from 183 people; 37% of posts read as positive, down 33% on last week.
- Silver Bulletin’s Gubernatorial Forecast (Chance of winning) PENNSYLVANIA 🟦 Josh Shapiro: 100% 🟥 Stacy Garrity: 0% —— IOWA 🟦 Rob Sand: 94% → (Flip) 🟥 Zach Lahn: 6% —— OHIO 🟦 Amy Acton: 77% → (Flip) 🟥 V. Ramaswamy: 23% — InteractivePolls · tweet
- Rob Sand winning 17% of registered Republicans in yesterdays NYT/Siena poll. This race is over for sure, and if the turnout mix goes his way it’s getting to major blowout territory. A worst case Lahn scandal could push Dexter Merschbrock · tweet
- DES MOINES, Iowa – The headline on Josh Wilson’s October 1 column in the Des Moines Register claims that despite being a “lifelong Republican,” he’s voting for Rob Sand. The article itself reveals the truth. Wilson, who Iowa First Media · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Zach Lahn14%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
