What are Rob Wittman's chances of winning the 2026 VA-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rob Wittman a 51% chance (Kalshi 53%, Polymarket 50%).

How much money has Rob Wittman raised?

Rob Wittman's campaign has raised $4.1M and has $4.3M cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · VA

Rob Wittman

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Rob Wittman (Republican) a 51% chance of winning the 2026 VA-01 House race (Kalshi 53%, Polymarket 50%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VA-01 House race	51%	53%	50%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $4.1M
Spent: $1.1M
Cash on hand: $4.3M
Outside groups for: $76K
Outside groups against: $4.7M

Through July 15, 2026. $1.4M from individuals, $1.2M from PACs. FEC filings for Robert J. Wittman →

Polls

In the 2026 VA-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Rob Wittman at 46% against Shannon Taylor at 49%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-28).

Social buzz

20K interactions with posts about Rob Wittman in the last 24 hours from 49 people; 72% of posts read as positive, down 20% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Shannon Taylor49%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.