Democrat · VA
Shannon Taylor
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Shannon Taylor (Democrat) a 49% chance of winning the 2026 VA-01 House race (Kalshi 47%, Polymarket 50%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 VA-01 House race | 49% | 47% | 50% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.1M
- Spent
- $1.1M
- Cash on hand
- $1.0M
- Outside groups for
- $480K
- Outside groups against
- $77K
Through July 15, 2026. $1.7M from individuals, $342K from PACs. FEC filings for Shannon Leigh Taylor →
Polls
In the 2026 VA-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Shannon Taylor at 49% against Rob Wittman at 46%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-09-28).
Social buzz
9K interactions with posts about Shannon Taylor in the last 24 hours from 59 people; 75% of posts read as positive, up 110% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Rob Wittman51%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
