Republican · AL
Robert Aderholt
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Robert Aderholt (Republican) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 AL-04 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 100%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 AL-04 House race | 99% | 98% | 100% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.0M
- Spent
- $1.2M
- Cash on hand
- $750K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $524K from individuals, $422K from PACs. FEC filings for Robert B. Rep. Aderholt →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
