What are Ronald Russell's chances of winning the 2026 ME-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ronald Russell a 3% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Ronald Russell raised?

Ronald Russell's campaign has raised $76K and has $20K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · ME

Ronald Russell

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ronald Russell (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 ME-01 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 4%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 ME-01 House race	3%	2%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $76K
Spent: $70K
Cash on hand: $20K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $67K from individuals, $7K from PACs, $1K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Ronald Charles Russell →

Polls

In the 2026 ME-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Ronald Russell at 35% against Chellie Pingree at 57%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-21).

Running against

Chellie Pingree97%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.