Democrat · IA
Sarah Trone Garriott
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sarah Trone Garriott (Democrat) a 77% chance of winning the 2026 IA-03 House race (Kalshi 77%, Polymarket 78%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 IA-03 House race | 77% | 77% | 78% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $5.3M
- Spent
- $1.4M
- Cash on hand
- $3.9M
- Outside groups for
- $153K
- Outside groups against
- $385K
Through June 30, 2026. $4.8M from individuals, $439K from PACs. FEC filings for Sarah Trone Garriott →
Polls
In the 2026 IA-03 House race, the Parlay polling average has Sarah Trone Garriott at 42% against Zach Nunn at 48%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-03-14).
Social buzz
7K interactions with posts about Sarah Trone Garriott in the last 24 hours from 20 people; 31% of posts read as positive, up 28% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Zach Nunn23%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
