What are Scott Fitzgerald's chances of winning the 2026 WI-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Scott Fitzgerald a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Scott Fitzgerald raised?

Scott Fitzgerald's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $1.3M cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · WI

Scott Fitzgerald

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Scott Fitzgerald (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 WI-05 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WI-05 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.4M
Spent: $887K
Cash on hand: $1.3M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $486K from individuals, $858K from PACs. FEC filings for Scott Fitzgerald →

Running against

Andrew Beck4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.