Democrat · TX
Shaun Finnie
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Shaun Finnie (Democrat) a 8% chance of winning the 2026 TX-02 House race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 8%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-02 House race | 8% | 7% | 8% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.7M
- Spent
- $1.3M
- Cash on hand
- $1.5M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $23K
Through June 30, 2026. $765K from individuals, $1K from PACs, $2.0M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Shaun Finnie →
Running against
- Steve Toth92%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.