Republican · TX
Steve Toth
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Steve Toth (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 TX-02 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 92%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-02 House race | 92% | 93% | 92% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $824K
- Spent
- $672K
- Cash on hand
- $153K
- Outside groups for
- $519K
- Outside groups against
- $1.8M
Through June 30, 2026. $713K from individuals, $68K from PACs, $13K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Steve Toth →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
