Republican · WV
Shelley Moore Capito
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Shelley Moore Capito (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 West Virginia Senate race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 West Virginia Senate race | 98% | 98% | 99% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $4.6M
- Spent
- $2.6M
- Cash on hand
- $4.4M
- Outside groups for
- $597K
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $2.5M from individuals, $1.7M from PACs. FEC filings for Shelley Moore Capito →
Social buzz
14K interactions with posts about Shelley Moore Capito in the last 24 hours from 19 people; 92% of posts read as positive, down 26% on last week.
- Shelley Moore Capito Says Schumer, Thune and Others Contributed to Affordability Bill Patriot Desk Network · youtube-video
- Why is Riley Moore so much worse than Moore Capito or Shelley Moore Capito Definitely Not Al Gore 🇺🇲🇺🇦🇵🇸 · tweet
- Senators Mike Lee, Shelley Moore Capito, Martin Heinrich, and Sheldon Whitehouse have released the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act. #OOTT #oilgas #USA Rigzone · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.