Republican · WV

Shelley Moore Capito

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Shelley Moore Capito (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 West Virginia Senate race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 West Virginia Senate race98%98%99%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$4.6M
Spent
$2.6M
Cash on hand
$4.4M
Outside groups for
$597K
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $2.5M from individuals, $1.7M from PACs. FEC filings for Shelley Moore Capito →

Social buzz

14K interactions with posts about Shelley Moore Capito in the last 24 hours from 19 people; 92% of posts read as positive, down 26% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works