What are Stefany Shaheen's chances of winning the 2026 NH-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Stefany Shaheen a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Stefany Shaheen raised?

Stefany Shaheen's campaign has raised $2.4M and has $604K cash on hand, through August 19, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NH

Stefany Shaheen

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Stefany Shaheen (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 NH-01 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NH-01 House race	96%	96%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.4M
Spent: $1.8M
Cash on hand: $604K
Outside groups for: $3.5M
Outside groups against: $1.1M

Through August 19, 2026. $2.3M from individuals, $99K from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Stefany Shaheen →

Polls

In the 2026 NH-01 House race, the Parlay polling average has Stefany Shaheen at 46% against Anthony DiLorenzo at 42%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-21).

Running against

Anthony DiLorenzo4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.