Republican · CA
Stephanie Vargas
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Stephanie Vargas (Republican) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 CA-33 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 5%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 CA-33 House race | 5% | 5% | 5% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Running against
- Pete Aguilar95%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
