Republican · CA
Steve Manos
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Steve Manos (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 CA-39 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 3%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 CA-39 House race | 4% | 4% | 3% | ▼ 4¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Running against
- Mark Takano96%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
