Democrat · NV

Steven Horsford

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Steven Horsford (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 NV-04 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 NV-04 House race97%97%97%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$3.4M
Spent
$1.9M
Cash on hand
$1.5M
Outside groups for
$293K
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.3M from individuals, $1.8M from PACs. FEC filings for Steven Alexzander Horsford →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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