What are Tessa Lynn Hodge's chances of winning the 2026 CA-23 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tessa Lynn Hodge a 5% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Tessa Lynn Hodge raised?

Tessa Lynn Hodge's campaign has raised $79K and has $10K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

Tessa Lynn Hodge

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tessa Lynn Hodge (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 CA-23 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 6%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-23 House race	5%	4%	6%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $79K
Spent: $69K
Cash on hand: $10K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $70K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $9K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Tessa Lynn Hodge →

Running against

Jay Obernolte95%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.