Democrat · OR
Tina Kotek
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tina Kotek (Democrat) a 75% chance of winning the 2026 Oregon governor race (Kalshi 74%, Polymarket 76%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Oregon governor race | 75% | 74% | 76% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Oregon governor race, the Parlay polling average has Tina Kotek at 44% against Christine Drazan at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-27).
Social buzz
335K interactions with posts about Tina Kotek in the last 24 hours from 251 people; 65% of posts read as positive, up 458% on last week.
- Get this. In Oregon, a state Democrats have OWNED for decades, Republican Christine Drazan is leading Democrat Tina Kotek 46-44. A rematch. Within the margin. 31 days out. Don't sleep on ANY race. Mila Joy · tweet
- Oregon is a unique case. Much like Matt Bevin in Kentucky, Tina Kotek very well could lose a deep blue state because she is very unpopular. Unlike 2022, where the third party candidate was center-right, the third party c Red Eagle Politics · tweet
- The Democratic Governors Association is pouring MILLIONS into Oregon to save Tina Kotek. Texas nominee Gina Hinojosa? Zero TV ad dollars, even after Latino leaders begged for up to $10 million. Democrats take Latino vot Mila Joy · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
