Republican · MI

Tom Barrett

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tom Barrett (Republican) a 41% chance of winning the 2026 MI-07 House race (Kalshi 41%, Polymarket 41%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 MI-07 House race41%41%41%▼ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$6.3M
Spent
$3.5M
Cash on hand
$2.9M
Outside groups for
$1.1M
Outside groups against
$2.9M

Through July 15, 2026. $3.4M from individuals, $1.5M from PACs. FEC filings for Thomas More Barrett →

Polls

In the 2026 MI-07 House race, the Parlay polling average has Tom Barrett at 47% against William Lawrence at 49%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-08-13).

Social buzz

8K interactions with posts about Tom Barrett in the last 24 hours from 40 people; 85% of posts read as positive, down 6% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Recent headlines

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works