Democrat · MI
William Lawrence
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give William Lawrence (Democrat) a 59% chance of winning the 2026 MI-07 House race (Kalshi 60%, Polymarket 59%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 MI-07 House race | 59% | 60% | 59% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.1M
- Spent
- $736K
- Cash on hand
- $383K
- Outside groups for
- $2.0M
- Outside groups against
- $3.0M
Through July 15, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $40K from PACs, $13K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for William Lawrence →
Polls
In the 2026 MI-07 House race, the Parlay polling average has William Lawrence at 49% against Tom Barrett at 47%, from 2 polls (newest ended 2026-08-13).
Social buzz
23K interactions with posts about William Lawrence in the last 24 hours from 40 people; 69% of posts read as positive, down 2% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Tom Barrett41%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
