Republican · KS
Ty Masterson
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ty Masterson (Republican) a 74% chance of winning the 2026 Kansas governor race (Kalshi 73%, Polymarket 75%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Kansas governor race | 74% | 73% | 75% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Kansas governor race, the Parlay polling average has Ty Masterson at 50% against Cindy Holscher at 45%, from 5 polls (newest ended 2026-09-30).
Social buzz
100K interactions with posts about Ty Masterson in the last 24 hours from 61 people; 84% of posts read as positive, up 18% on last week.
- #KansasGovernor NYT: Ty Masterson (R) benefits from some crossover appeal. He has the support of 8% of voters who say they also plan to support the Democrat in the Senate race, the Rev. Adam Hamilton. Link to article: Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 · tweet
- Ty Masterson has a 74% chance to flip the Kansas Governor’s seat from 🟦➡️🟥 Kalshi Politics · tweet
- “If Ty Masterson wins this spot, we lose our schools. He’s been trying to defund public education for years!!!" - Cindy Holscher, Dem Candidate for Governor- No to Brownback Era Redo! Aware-Highway-2494 · reddit-post
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
