What are Val Hoyle's chances of winning the 2026 OR-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Val Hoyle a 94% chance (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Val Hoyle raised?

Val Hoyle's campaign has raised $1.2M and has $521K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · OR

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Val Hoyle (Democrat) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 OR-04 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 95%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 OR-04 House race	94%	93%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $612K from individuals, $610K from PACs. FEC filings for Valerie Hoyle →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.