What are Victoria Spartz's chances of winning the 2026 IN-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Victoria Spartz a 85% chance (Kalshi 84%, Polymarket 85%).

How much money has Victoria Spartz raised?

Victoria Spartz's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $230K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · IN

Victoria Spartz

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Victoria Spartz (Republican) a 85% chance of winning the 2026 IN-05 House race (Kalshi 84%, Polymarket 85%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IN-05 House race	85%	84%	85%	▼ 4¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $1.4M
Cash on hand: $230K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $213K

Through June 30, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $119K from PACs, $25K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Victoria Spartz →

Polls

In the 2026 IN-05 House race, the Parlay polling average has Victoria Spartz at 48% against J.D. Ford at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-20).

Running against

J.D. Ford15%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.