What are William Timmons's chances of winning the 2026 SC-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give William Timmons a 98% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has William Timmons raised?

William Timmons's campaign has raised $1.6M and has $77K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · SC

William Timmons

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give William Timmons (Republican) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 SC-04 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 SC-04 House race	98%	98%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.6M
Spent: $1.5M
Cash on hand: $77K
Outside groups for: $487K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $293K from individuals, $638K from PACs, $650K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for William R Timmons Iv →

Running against

Courtney McClain2%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.