Democrat · CA
Xavier Becerra
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Xavier Becerra (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 California governor race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 95%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 California governor race | 96% | 96% | 95% | ▼ 1¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 California governor race, the Parlay polling average has Xavier Becerra at 57% against Steve Hilton at 35%, from 4 polls (newest ended 2026-09-20).
Social buzz
2.8M interactions with posts about Xavier Becerra in the last 24 hours from 918 people; 56% of posts read as positive, up 802% on last week.
- California Governor Poll (Hilton internal) 🟦 Xavier Becerra: 45.7% 🟥 Steve Hilton: 40.1% ⬜️ Not sure: 14.1% Undecideds forced to choose leaned 72.5% Becerra, 27.5% Hilton. —— David Wolfson | 10/1-2 | 1,020 LV InteractivePolls · tweet
- David Wolfson poll | 10/1-10/2 LV California Governor 2026 🟦Xavier Becerra 45.7% 🟥Steve Hilton 40.1% (Steve Hilton internal) Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 · tweet
- Absolute chad DROPS A NUKE on Xavier Becerra during California governor's debate Memology 101 · youtube-video
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Kamala Harris0%
- Steve Hilton4%
- Tom Steyer0%
- Rick Caruso0%
- Alex Padilla0%
- Katie Porter0%
- Antonio Villaraigosa0%
- Stephen Cloobeck0%
- Butch Ware0%
- Betty Yee0%
- Toni Atkins0%
- Kyle Langford0%
- Chad Bianco0%
- Eleni Kounalakis0%
- Daniel Mercuri0%
- Tony Thurmond0%
- Michael Younger0%
- Leo Zacky0%
- Nicole Shanahan0%
- Eric Swalwell0%
- Matt Mahan0%
- Elaine Culotti0%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
