Daily market report
Election markets on Wednesday, June 3, 2026
Republicans ended the day 54% to win the Senate (Democratic odds up 1.7 points); Democrats ended the day 80% to win the House; the biggest move was UT-03 (Utah), where Democratic odds went from 46% to 20%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT-03 (Utah) | D 46% | D 20% | ▼ 25.3 |
| VA-07 (Virginia) | D 93% | D 76% | ▼ 17.0 |
| MN-02 (Minnesota) | D 90% | D 74% | ▼ 15.2 |
| VA-02 (Virginia) | D 83% | D 70% | ▼ 12.7 |
| AL-02 (Alabama) | D 35% | D 24% | ▼ 11.1 |
| MI-03 (Michigan) | D 86% | D 75% | ▼ 10.9 |
| NJ-05 (New Jersey) | D 83% | D 73% | ▼ 10.2 |
| MD-05 (Maryland) | D 95% | D 85% | ▼ 10.0 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 26% | D 36% | ▲ 9.3 |
| WI-01 (Wisconsin) | D 37% | D 45% | ▲ 8.6 |
