Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, June 20, 2026
Republicans ended the day 57% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 79% to win the House; the biggest move was NY-22 (New York), where Democratic odds went from 55% to 78%; 1 race changed favorites.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NY-22 (New York) | D 55% | D 78% | ▲ 22.7 |
| CA-35 (California) | D 94% | D 73% | ▼ 21.1 |
| NJ-03 (New Jersey) | D 92% | D 72% | ▼ 20.0 |
| IN-04 (Indiana) | D 10% | D 29% | ▲ 19.5 |
| NC-07 (North Carolina) | D 11% | D 29% | ▲ 18.3 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 15% | D 33% | ▲ 17.5 |
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 17% | D 33% | ▲ 16.6 |
| FL-03 (Florida) | D 15% | D 31% | ▲ 15.9 |
| MI-03 (Michigan) | D 88% | D 74% | ▼ 14.1 |
| NY-03 (New York) | D 80% | D 68% | ▼ 12.8 |
Lead changes
- TX-35 (Texas)Republican now favored: D 52% → 43%
