Daily market report
Election markets on Friday, June 19, 2026
Republicans ended the day 57% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 79% to win the House; the biggest move was IN-04 (Indiana), where Democratic odds went from 30% to 10%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| IN-04 (Indiana) | D 30% | D 10% | ▼ 20.2 |
| NJ-03 (New Jersey) | D 71% | D 92% | ▲ 20.1 |
| NM-03 (New Mexico) | D 70% | D 89% | ▲ 19.2 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 33% | D 15% | ▼ 17.4 |
| CA-35 (California) | D 77% | D 94% | ▲ 17.4 |
| TX-10 (Texas) | D 33% | D 16% | ▼ 17.1 |
| NC-03 (North Carolina) | D 29% | D 12% | ▼ 16.6 |
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 33% | D 17% | ▼ 16.3 |
| NC-07 (North Carolina) | D 27% | D 11% | ▼ 15.7 |
| FL-03 (Florida) | D 31% | D 15% | ▼ 15.5 |
