Daily market report
Election markets on Thursday, June 18, 2026
Republicans ended the day 57% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 79% to win the House; the biggest move was VA-10 (Virginia), where Democratic odds went from 79% to 57%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| VA-10 (Virginia) | D 79% | D 57% | ▼ 21.9 |
| NC-09 (North Carolina) | D 26% | D 14% | ▼ 12.4 |
| TX-27 (Texas) | D 25% | D 13% | ▼ 12.3 |
| WA-08 (Washington) | D 73% | D 83% | ▲ 9.9 |
| UT-03 (Utah) | D 46% | D 36% | ▼ 9.5 |
| NC-07 (North Carolina) | D 34% | D 27% | ▼ 7.2 |
| NC-06 (North Carolina) | D 23% | D 30% | ▲ 6.6 |
| FL-22 (Florida) | D 57% | D 51% | ▼ 6.1 |
| MN-01 (Minnesota) | D 35% | D 29% | ▼ 5.8 |
| NV-04 (Nevada) | D 85% | D 80% | ▼ 5.6 |
