Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, June 27, 2026
Republicans ended the day 58% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 82% to win the House; the biggest move was CA-35 (California), where Democratic odds went from 76% to 90%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA-35 (California) | D 76% | D 90% | ▲ 14.7 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 32% | D 20% | ▼ 11.8 |
| NC-07 (North Carolina) | D 28% | D 17% | ▼ 10.5 |
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 29% | D 19% | ▼ 9.8 |
| MO-01 (Missouri) | D 87% | D 95% | ▲ 7.9 |
| TX-18 (Texas) | D 88% | D 94% | ▲ 6.3 |
| FL-14 (Florida) | D 42% | D 48% | ▲ 5.5 |
| IL-12 (Illinois) | D 6% | D 1% | ▼ 5.5 |
| NY-18 (New York) | D 84% | D 89% | ▲ 5.4 |
| FL-03 (Florida) | D 30% | D 25% | ▼ 4.4 |
