Daily market report
Election markets on Friday, June 26, 2026
Republicans ended the day 58% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 82% to win the House (Democratic odds up 1.0 points); the biggest move was FL-18 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 16% to 29%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 16% | D 29% | ▲ 13.0 |
| TX-27 (Texas) | D 19% | D 31% | ▲ 12.7 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 73% | D 81% | ▲ 8.2 |
| WA-03 (Washington) | D 79% | D 86% | ▲ 7.2 |
| VA-11 (Virginia) | D 92% | D 86% | ▼ 6.3 |
| IA-03 (Iowa) | D 73% | D 67% | ▼ 6.0 |
| NY-04 (New York) | D 79% | D 84% | ▲ 5.3 |
| MI-04 (Michigan) | D 44% | D 38% | ▼ 5.2 |
| GA-07 (Georgia) | D 21% | D 16% | ▼ 4.8 |
| FL-07 (Florida) | D 29% | D 34% | ▲ 4.8 |
