Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, June 28, 2026
Republicans ended the day 58% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 82% to win the House; the biggest move was TX-27 (Texas), where Democratic odds went from 30% to 13%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TX-27 (Texas) | D 30% | D 13% | ▼ 17.4 |
| IN-04 (Indiana) | D 26% | D 10% | ▼ 16.3 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 30% | D 46% | ▲ 15.5 |
| FL-03 (Florida) | D 25% | D 11% | ▼ 14.2 |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 64% | D 50% | ▼ 14.0 |
| OR-05 (Oregon) | D 79% | D 89% | ▲ 9.7 |
| NC-07 (North Carolina) | D 17% | D 10% | ▼ 7.4 |
| FL-27 (Florida) | D 31% | D 38% | ▲ 7.4 |
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 19% | D 12% | ▼ 7.1 |
| AZ-09 (Arizona) | D 8% | D 1% | ▼ 6.1 |
