Daily market report
Election markets on Thursday, August 20, 2026
Republicans ended the day 52% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 87% to win the House; the biggest move was FL-13 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 20% to 37%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 20% | D 37% | ▲ 16.4 |
| PA-08 (Pennsylvania) | D 76% | D 69% | ▼ 6.7 |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | D 66% | D 62% | ▼ 4.6 |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | D 92% | D 88% | ▼ 3.8 |
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | D 76% | D 72% | ▼ 3.6 |
| OH-01 (Ohio) | D 89% | D 85% | ▼ 3.3 |
| NE-02 (Nebraska) | D 81% | D 84% | ▲ 3.2 |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 68% | D 71% | ▲ 3.1 |
| MI-01 (Michigan) | D 12% | D 9% | ▼ 3.1 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 74% | D 71% | ▼ 2.8 |
