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On Polymarket, a regulated prediction market (Polymarket). Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Polymarket

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket give it a 2% chance. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2.0M in all.

Chance of Yes: 2%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $2.0M
Closes: January 1, 2027

The odds

Yes2%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:33 AM4:33 PM4:33 AM2% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.