Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

South Dakota Secretary of State winner?

in 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Heather Baxter at 90%, ahead of Tamara J. Lesnar at 6%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2 in all.

Favorite: Heather Baxter 90%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $2
Closes: November 3, 2027

Every outcome

Heather Baxter90%
Tamara J. Lesnar6%
Terrence Davis6%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:51 AM3:51 PM3:51 AM90% Heather Baxter

The line follows the current favorite, Heather Baxter. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.