Kalshi
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
Before Jan 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Roybal v. Griffith at 37%, ahead of Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice at 34%. $879 traded in the last 24 hours, $44K in all.
- Favorite
- Roybal v. Griffith 37%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $879
- Traded in all
- $44K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Roybal v. Griffith37%
- Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice34%▲ 2
- Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory33%▲ 2
- U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court32%
- Republican National Committee v. Eakin26%
- Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day24%▲ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:06 AM9:06 PM9:06 AM37% Roybal v. Griffith
The line follows the current favorite, Roybal v. Griffith. One reading an hour.
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- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?June 30, 2027 39%
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?14%
- When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?Before Jul 1, 2027 28%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
