Kalshi

What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 10% or above at 95%, ahead of 20% or above at 56%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.

Favorite
10% or above 95%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$2K
Closes
January 1, 2027

Every outcome

  1. 10% or above95%
  2. 20% or above56%
  3. 30% or above23%
  4. 50% or above8%
  5. 100% or above4%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:17 PM12:17 AM12:17 PM95% 10% or above

The line follows the current favorite, 10% or above. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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