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Kalshi

When will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law?

Mandatory serious AI-incident reporting

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2028 at 56%, ahead of Before Jul 1, 2027 at 35%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.

Favorite: Before Jan 1, 2028 56%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $1K
Closes: January 1, 2027

Every outcome

Before Jan 1, 202856%
Before Jul 1, 202735%
Before Jan 1, 202711%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%1:00 PM1:00 AM1:00 PM56% Before Jan 1, 2028

The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2028. One reading an hour.

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