Kalshi
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
Mandatory AI shutdown capabilities
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2028 at 48%, ahead of Before Jul 1, 2027 at 27%. $65 traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2028 48%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $65
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 202848%
- Before Jul 1, 202727%▼ 9
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:43 AM7:43 PM7:43 AM48% Before Jan 1, 2028
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2028. One reading an hour.
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More policy and the economy markets
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- Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?6%
- Deportations in 2026?Above 200,000 99%
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↑ 4.25% 73%
- Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?40%
- How high will inflation get in 2026?Above 4.5% 13%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
