Kalshi

Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?

Before Jan 1, 2030

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Adam Telle at 37%, ahead of Michael Obadal at 6%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Adam Telle 37%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
January 8, 2030

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Adam Telle37%
  2. Michael Obadal6%
  3. Marc Andersen5%
  4. Brent Ingraham5%
  5. Sean Parnell4%
  6. W. Jordan Gillis4%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:04 AM9:04 PM9:04 AM37% Adam Telle

The line follows the current favorite, Adam Telle. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Kalshi →

More cabinet and appointments markets

Every cabinet and appointments market →

Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works