Kalshi

Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?

Before 2028

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 45% chance. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $460 in all.

Chance of Yes
45%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$460
Closes
August 1, 2028

The odds

  1. Yes45%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:27 AM7:27 PM7:27 AM45% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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